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Capital & Financial Markets 5 Nov 2026

Greif sets FY2027 adjusted EBITDA floor at USD 645m after Q4 EPS rises 50%

Greif has guided to fiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA of at least USD 645m, about 3% above fiscal 2026, and adjusted free cash flow of USD 290m, and raised its annualised cost-savings target to USD 150m from the USD 105m achieved by the end of fiscal 2026. Fourth-quarter adjusted Class A EPS rose 50% to USD 0.87 on lower interest and tax costs and buybacks, while adjusted EBITDA fell 3.1% to USD 163.0m against a prior-year quarter that included a USD 18.2m incentive accrual gain. The outlook assumes flat volumes in three segments and a low single-digit decline in metals.

Why this mattersGreif's floor assumes no broad volume recovery: acquisitions, closures and cost savings, not demand, carry its 2027 earnings bridge while industrial end markets stay weak.

  • FY2027 guidance floor is adjusted EBITDA of USD 645m, about 3 percent above FY2026, and adjusted free cash flow of USD 290m
  • Q4 adjusted Class A EPS rose to USD 0.87 from USD 0.58 a year earlier, up 50 percent
  • Net leverage was 1.2x at FY2026 year end against about 3.5x in FY2024; USD 225m of shares, about 6 percent of shares outstanding, were bought back in the year
  • Management raised its FY2027 annualised cost-savings target to USD 150m from USD 105m achieved by end-FY2026
  • FY2026 full-year adjusted EBITDA rose 11.7 percent to USD 626m and adjusted EPS rose 74.9 percent
Greif
Sources TradingKey ZH
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Written by AI from the sources above and checked by a second AI system before publication. No human wrote or edited this story. How it is made.

Updates

  • 2026-11-06 · Edited before publication: 'Flat to declining shipment volumes across most segments' is imprecise (IBC and fibre volumes grew); the summary now gives the stated reason for the EBITDA decline. Headline uses '50%' rather than '50pc'.
  • 2026-11-06 · Edited before publication: A key fact implied the buybacks caused the fall in leverage, which the source does not say; the facts are now stated separately. The why-it-matters line now rests on the guidance bridge (USD 60m from acquisitions and closures against USD 10m from volume).